Post NH: Which Democratic candidate would be stronger against Trump?

[Camaro33]

All of 2015 I would have said Hillary. She was "inevitable". However, now I am confident that Bernie Sanders would be a much more challenging opponent.

This is due to several factors. First off, the Hillary coalition is just not there. It is not as strong as the Obama coalition. The whole "I'm a woman" thing hasn't worked as well as she had hoped or I expected. She lacks a noteworthy amount of the millennial and minority support that Obama had. If she is the nominee, Democratic turnout will be low. Her presidency is "expected" and the result of what her presidency would entail is widely known and nothing good but yet nothing terrible or unexpected. A lot like Obama's third term. Plus, lots of people will not vote for her because of her scandals and portrayal as a liar or dishonest.

Bernie would be much more formidable because he has a new and perhaps much more dangerous coalition than Obama. His coalition includes entitled white college kids and the vast majority of people under 35 across all demographics. He will beat Obama significantly with millennial support, and will likely nearly perform as well as Obama with minorities albeit their turnout dropping a tad. Millennial turnout will be RECORD high, and you will see UNQUESTIONABLY the greatest age bracket voting difference in American history in a Trump vs. Sanders election. Something along the lines of millennials voting >70% Sanders and people 50+ voting >70% Trump would not surprise me...

With that said, I think any Trump vs (Sanders/Clinton) matchup would be a close election, but I give a strong edge to Sanders because he excites the liberal base substantially greater than Clinton, who would depress turnout. It comes down to turnout. In the end, I think Trump vs Sanders is a toss up at this point.