Republicans fear Midterm losses-In the House (user search)
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  Republicans fear Midterm losses-In the House (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republicans fear Midterm losses-In the House  (Read 12409 times)
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« on: March 20, 2005, 11:41:43 AM »

Is it odd to see a party gain 25 house seats in midterm election?  What is the most a party has gained in one midterm?
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2005, 09:52:39 PM »

MD - 2 and MD- 5 may go Republican if Ruppersberger and Hoyer run for senate.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2005, 09:53:47 PM »



If in 2006 we have $4 gas, the dollar collapses, inflation returns, the economy goes in ressesion and we still have 150,000 troops in Iraq, picking up 25 seats would be possible for the Democrats.

Under those circumstances Id say we'd pick up 50+ seats. LOL.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2005, 09:57:11 PM »

Ruppersberger is already running. Does the GOP really have a shot at those seats? I couldn't imagine Hoyer's seat switching.

Ehrlich used to be the congressman in MD-2, so its definitley possible.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2005, 10:02:09 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2005, 10:08:58 PM by nickshepDEM »


yeah, but wasn't the seat gerrymandered to get rid of him so he decided to run for governor since he thought he'd have no chance in the new district?

You proably right about that.  Ruppersberger won big, but he ran against a lady from my town (Dundalk) who is an ABSOLUTE NOBODY, Jane Brooks.  Ehrlich was extremley popular in my area because as many Dundalk residents would say "Im voting for Bobby Ehrlich because he'll keep the ni--ers out."
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #5 on: March 20, 2005, 10:04:29 PM »


man, this is the 2nd district:


If the Democrats went through the trouble of creating that piece of work, I really hope we don't lose it.

I live in the 2nd district.  Harford County and Anne Arundel counties are solid Republican and Baltimore County is pretty evenly divided.  It would be a long shot, but not impossible.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #6 on: March 20, 2005, 10:11:03 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2005, 10:12:53 PM by nickshepDEM »


If the Democrats went through the trouble of creating that piece of work, I really hope we don't lose it.

LOL, now that I think about it the Democrats did go way out of their way to pull this one off.  They stretched halfway across Baltimore County to include Randallstown, which is 95% African American.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #7 on: March 20, 2005, 10:21:38 PM »


Yet his Lt. Gov. candidate was a black man. Some people are so smart. So not only was their reasoning stupid, they couldn't even notice that he had someone they dislike running with him.

Your right, but this was when he was running for congress.  I think he strongly opposed section 8 housing and that was a big issue in my area.

On a side note,  Phil if you think Ehrlich selected Steele for any reason besides helping him with the African American please fill me in?
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,909


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

« Reply #8 on: March 20, 2005, 10:28:25 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2005, 10:32:59 PM by nickshepDEM »


Section 8 is a huge issue in PA 13. You don't know what you just started. Smiley 

Section 8 is still a huge issue here.  Thats where the "Im voting for Bobby Ehrlich because..." line comes from.  Whats up with section 8 in PA 13?

I'm sure Ehrlich selected him for helping him with the black vote. I'm not going to deny that.

If we're going to be honest here, it was the only reason.  Before becomming Lt. Gov., Steele was a failed businessman and politician.  He offered nothing to the ticket besides a couple extra votes from the African American population, but he actually did alot better than anyone expected.  Ehrlich/Steele went on to pull like 18% of the African American vote, which is way higher than the normal Republican who gets 10%.
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