Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 62038 times)
Why
Unbiased
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« on: February 20, 2016, 06:01:53 PM »

How long until we get results?
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Why
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« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 06:13:04 PM »

Polls close at 4 PT/7ET, I would expect results to probably to start to  trickle in 15-20 minutes after.

So in a hour?
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Why
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« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 06:16:26 PM »

If Trump is truly winning SC, and that could very well happen, then I don't see why he would not win the nomination, unfortunately.

Rubio gets a close second, forces Kasich and Bush out of the contest, Rubio wins NV and has a very good Super Tuesday. Not a prediction but a possibility.
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Why
Unbiased
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« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 06:17:28 PM »


Thank you.
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« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 06:58:43 PM »

Fox exit poll (if my math is right):

Trump 30%
Cruz 25.5%
Rubio 24%


That'd be good enough for Rubio to knock out Bush and Kasich.

Unless there is a shock Trump loss this is the most important thing to come out of the primary, will Bush and Kasich withdraw?
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« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 07:07:38 PM »

If that poll's right, them my prediction is down the tubes lol.

Same
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« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 07:49:09 PM »

Bush beating Cruz in Charleston.
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« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2016, 07:58:53 PM »

Bush is actually breaking 10% in most of the larger counties
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« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2016, 08:07:20 PM »


Kasich is beating Bush because he beating Bush in Beaufort which has 65% in, Kasich is losing to Bush almost everywhere else including the largest counties. Bush will easily beat Kasich unless he improves in the largest counties.
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« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2016, 08:14:07 PM »


Kasich is beating Bush because he beating Bush in Beaufort which has 65% in, Kasich is losing to Bush almost everywhere else including the largest counties. Bush will easily beat Kasich unless he improves in the largest counties.

The fact that he's even close to Kasich is completely embarrassing when you consider how much they each invested in the state.

True.
Kasich is also doing very well in Aitken relative to Bush and is getting closer in Charleston.
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« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2016, 08:27:01 PM »

Cruz and Bush seem like they solidifying their 2nd and 4th place respectively.

Kasich has ~3000 more votes than Bush in Beafort which is now at 79% so Bush should extend his lead.
Less sure on Cruz.
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« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2016, 08:35:17 PM »

We needs results from Greenville and Spartanburg
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« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2016, 09:02:07 PM »

Kasich came back in the bigger counties he was trailing in early and has beaten Bush in Greenville and Charleston where he was behind Bush by a reasonable margin early. So it depends on Spartanburg for 4th.
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« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2016, 09:06:47 PM »

Trump does best in counties with a large black population:




Does that mean THE BLACKS are voting for Trump?

Or that the higher the percentage of blacks the more the whites like Trump
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« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2016, 09:11:26 PM »

I noticed a couple of the very small counties went from 0% to 100% all in one go, will we see somthing similar with Spartanburg?
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« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2016, 09:19:58 PM »

Trump does best in counties with a large black population:




Does that mean THE BLACKS are voting for Trump?

Or that the higher the percentage of blacks the more the whites like Trump

It likely reflects that many of those counties with high black populations tend to be poor counties with lower levels of education for all residents. Since Trump does best with those without a college degree, he should do well in those counties.

Makes total sense
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