CNN/ORC poll: Trump 39% Cruz 18% Carson/Rubio 10% Christie 5%

[weixiaobao]

Look like Rand may survive into the main debate afterall if this keep up.

Rand may overtake Bush in Iowa also.  But Bush's NH #s meant he will survive. 

So the chance is Bush will make it to the debate.  Rand has a glimpse of hope of getting into the main debate.  So the main debate will have 6 or 7 people, or if Kasich get lucky and Bush fell of the map in New Hampshire. 

Then boy oh boy, Bush won't even make it into the main debate. 

[weixiaobao]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

[weixiaobao]

LOL, the Donald tops everyone but is still the most disliked guy.

It doesn't even make sense.  39% will vote for him now (not to mentioned his 2nd choice if there is any) but only 30% held him favorably. 

There's a typo in the OP.  39% have a favorable opinion of him, not 30%.  But that's 39% of all Americans.  If you narrow it down to Republican registered voters, then 72% of that group have a favorable opinion of Trump.  And that's the group that's being polled in the primary matchup, not all Americans.

okay, Trump has became an unstoppable Monster.  O____O

Thank..

[weixiaobao]

Compare Trump's December # with older polls in either November or October.  And compare to his last highest ceiling in September/post Alabama rally.

Monmouth (+13 since Oct) (+11 Aug/Sep peak)
CNN/ORC (+12 since Oct) (+7 Aug/Sep peak)
Fox (+11 since Nov)
NBC/WSJ (+4 since Oct)
Rasmussen (+2 since Nov)
Quinnipiac (+4 since Nov) (+0 Aug/Sep peak)
CBS/NYT (+13 since Oct) (+8 Aug/Sep peak)
Emerson (+4 since Oct) (+2.4 since Aug/Sep peak)
PPP (+8 since Nov) (+5 Aug/Sep peak)
ABC/WaPo (+6 since Nov) (+5 Aug/Sep peak)
IBD/TIPP (-1 since Oct)
PRRI (+1 since Nov)

Internet polls are a tad weird.
But phone polls basically follow a trend except for the outliers that are highlight.
Trump ceiling had move up since his last ceiling in September.

[weixiaobao]

His national #s are ~10 points higher than his #s in Iowa and New Hampshire, so we'll see what happens in those two states, and then what develops from there.

All I am seeing is that Christie's rise is poisonous for Bush if this trend continue (that his #s are dropping even further and not stabilize).  It would be embarrassing f he have to be in the undercard either for the next debate or the one after that.