Seems like Carson is "surging" thanks to his ignorant comments, Trump slipping.
I posted the percentage already.
But what you are saying is half true. What is true is that he will rise in the poll or maintain his spot for his comment. And that, the big gap (of 3%) between 9/21 and 9/22 does show that.
The half false is that do you know how Reuters work? It is 5 days rolling. His Muslim spotlight comment was on the 20th of September. Prior to 9/22 poll #, he already heading up (from like 13% to 16%). And for the 9/22 #, what that meant is that # is the data collected 9/18 to 9/22. Presumably most people wouldn't know too much about the comment until the 21st. So the latest % is collected with 3 days when people don't know about it, and 2 days of falling out media coverage after the event.
If you actually want to know the impact of the comment, you will have to wait until 9/25 poll #.