Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
Sr. Member
Posts: 3,310
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« on: February 23, 2016, 01:27:23 AM » |
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Let's get the facts.
Kasich knows if he stays in the race, he'll take a good 10% in every state, and more in the northeast and midwest, although probably not enough to win any state except Ohio. He's had a few little jolts to his campaign but it seems like the fix is in and he won't be getting much help from the party.
But he also knows that the longer he stays in, the more he can help to stop Rubio from winning.
Especially if he's still in the race in a month. His decision to go hard in the midwest would likely be the difference between Rubio and Trump taking the nomination if Rubio moves up to about 30-40% as many seem to be expecting him to.
Now Rubio obviously doesn't want to lose the nomination. But Kasich doesn't want him to lose the nomination either. Presumably a Rubio ticket makes Kasich a lot happier, and gives him better future prospects, than a Trump ticket. Kasich has nothing to gain from Rubio losing to Trump.
Rubio can almost certainly get Kasich out of the race with a promise of the VP spot. But Rubio doesn't want to give that prize away if he doesn't have to. However, the longer Rubio holds out, the more likely it becomes that he loses the nomination, as described above.
Are Rubio and Kasich basically playing a game of chicken, racing their cars headlong towards the cliff (mid-March), each one waiting to see if the other swerves first (Rubio by giving the VP spot, Kasich by dropping out) and knowing that if they go over the cliff, Trump wins?
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