Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (user search)
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  Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Republican South Carolina Primary results thread (polls close @7pm ET)  (Read 61897 times)
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« on: February 20, 2016, 05:37:16 PM »


Predictions:

Who....

Outperforms:


Rubio
Cruz
Underperforms:
Trump
Kasich
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 05:39:43 PM »


He has stayed consistent with his poll numbers, I say he neither particularly under or over performs.  
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 06:06:17 PM »

Polls close at 4 PT/7ET, I would expect results to probably to start to  trickle in 15-20 minutes after.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 06:10:39 PM »

Will Trump be projected the winner at the poll closing?
Will the news orgs call it for TRUMP the moment polls close?

I would guess it depends on what exit polls say, If they show a 6+ point lead for Trump then probably yes. A  Trump lead that is less then 5, or a lead by another candidate they  probably \will hold off on making a call. Keep in mind they may call the State right away but may not call individual CD until later on.
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 06:14:21 PM »

Polls close at 4 PT/7ET, I would expect results to probably to start to  trickle in 15-20 minutes after.

So in a hour?
yes
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 06:24:39 PM »

How would you rate the candidates results under/over

Under/Over
Trump 30
Rubio 22
Cruz 20
Bush 15
Kasich 10
Carson 7
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 06:32:44 PM »

How would you rate the candidates results under/over

Under/Over
Trump 30
Rubio 22
Cruz 20
Bush 15
Kasich 10
Carson 7
What does this mean?

Will the following candidates final percentage be over or under the # I placed beside their name, as an example will Trump be over or under 30%.
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