PA: Insider Advantage: Tie (user search)
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  PA: Insider Advantage: Tie (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: Insider Advantage: Tie  (Read 2480 times)
Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,602
United States


« on: October 20, 2022, 02:26:02 PM »

Don’t worry, as soon as the media starts running with the puppy story he’s screwed.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,602
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2022, 11:18:15 PM »

Man, the doomer-ism in here is one thing, but y'all are going off about a crosstab that has 36 (Hispanic) and 49 (black) people in it!

Statewide polling is going to have rough samples with minorities, but I think we can all agree an 85 person sample for minorities is just terrible. Thus, the sample with 36 hispanics gets a wonky result (Oz +60... which obviously is not happening)

Same thing with "Oz having strength with 14% of Blacks" .... it's a tab of 49 people. That's like, what, 6 people? lol

These crosstabs are BS!


What I find interesting that people are ignoring here is the White vote... it's literally tied, again. If the white vote is anywhere close to tied, it's great news for Fetterman. And the n= is at least strong here, 465

BUT THESE CROSSTABS ARE REAL!!
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