Arizona: McCain by an underwhelming margin. Some spiteful Ward undervotes (counteracted by Johnson-McCain votes), but generally enough Trump-McCain straight ticket voters to win.
McCain 53 - Kirkpatrick 46 GOP HOLDCalifornia: Massive GOP undervoting gives Harris a repeat of her primary win.
Harris 67 - Sanchez 33 BLANDIAN GAINColorado: Glenn does as well as one would expect Tancredo/Maes to do in a presidential year.
Bennet 51 - Glenn 44 DEM HOLDFlorida: Rubio gets nearly all of Trump's votes plus some racist votes from the Hispanic community.
Rubio 53 - Murphy 46 GOP HOLDGeorgia: Nothing to see here.
Isakson 53 - Barksdale 44 GOP HOLDIllinois: Duckworth's incompetence may exceed Kirk's, but that is not enough in an urban Democratic state.
Duckworth 50 - Kirk 48 DEM GAINIndiana: Bayh's faux-conservative act and spiteful Stutzman undervotes are sufficient for re-election.
Bayh 51 - Young 44 CONSERVADEM GAINIowa: Nothing to see here, especially when Trump probably helps Grassley.
Grassley 55 - Judge 44 GOP HOLDLouisiana: Kennedy and Campbell make the runoff, following which Kennedy wins the seat.
Kennedy 32 - Campbell 22 - Fayard 15 -> Kennedy 58 - Campbell 42 GOP HOLDMissouri: See Iowa.
Blunt 54 - Kander 42 GOP HOLDNevada: Close but Heck pulls it off.
Heck 50 - Cortez-Masto 48 GOP GAINNew Hampshire: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Hassan 50 - Ayotte 48 DEM GAIN (50-48 seems to be the magic number)
North Carolina:
Burr 52 - Ross 46 GOP HOLDOhio:
Portman 54 - Strickland 45 GOP HOLDPennsylvania:
Toomey 50 - McGinty 48 GOP HOLD 
Wisconsin:
Feingold 50 - Johnson 48 DEM GAIN 
Poll
