mencken
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,222
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« on: October 11, 2015, 05:24:46 PM » |
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« edited: October 11, 2015, 05:27:25 PM by mencken »
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Republicans will end up getting more than a combined 18% of the vote. In 2012, polling for the open primary showed Republicans getting 23% of the vote; they received 39% on primary day. Whomever is the leading Republican candidate going into the primary (almost certainly Rocky Chavez) will receive at least a plurality of that, meaning Sanchez has to be safely in the mid 20s to be assured of a runoff spot.
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