If Lee Zeldin won in 2022, would he win re-election in 2026?

[Sir Mohamed]

Incumbent governors are rarely defeated even in hostile territory, so I’d guess Zeldin.

While incumbents tend to win reelection by looking at general statistics, his views are still out of touch the mainstream in NYS and his election would have been nothing more but a culmination of protest votes and low Dem turnout. The result have been endless battles with the D-controlled legislature and ineffective governing. A reasonably strong challenger could have ended Zeldin's resign after a single term.