PA-SEN (Suffolk/USA Today): Fetterman +9

[Sir Mohamed]

That's encouraging, but I better don't get my hopes up here. If polling didn't suck that much in previous cycles, I'd more confident. It's very possible the undecideds will swing R in the end as Fetterman is not near 50%.

That said, I have a feeling polling will be off again, perhaps by more than 2020, and underestimate GOP support yet again.

Tossup -> Tossup

[Sir Mohamed]

On a related note, republicans sure do seem to have a special knack for picking the absolute worst Senate candidates this cycle. Coupled with the bombshell revelation yesterday that Herschel Walker has a 10yo son he doesn't see (after lamenting 'absent black fathers' constantly in his barely understandable ramblings), this might be the best 24 hour period for the DSCC this cycle since Sununu decided against running.

Yup, they already blew winnable senate races in 2018 by nominating terrible candidates. AL-2017 was also a  lost (should have listened to Trump actually, lol). Appointing Martha McSally after she was already rejected was also hilariously inept from a political standpoint.

[Sir Mohamed]

54-46 for Oz in November looks about right.

Ugh, this is a bit of an overstatement I guess. Not sure even SnowLabrador thinks this will be a 8 pt. loss.