MD-SEN 2024: Cardin retiring, Hogan IN

[Sir Mohamed]

Looks like a good call for Cardin to retire. Hopefully we can get some young progressive. But a good progressive who's willing to get things done.

[Sir Mohamed]

Good, some fresh news faces are sheldom a bad idea. Especially when we're having a 81-year prez at the top of the ticket, younger blood downballot makes even more sense.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/andrewsolender/status/1693615795027181821?s=46&t=-r8JGlJ...

Won't matter that much, several of these reps are unknown in MD and hardly anyone is going to change their vote because of their recommendation. (Most) endorsements are generally overrated.

[Sir Mohamed]

Endorsements usually don't mean much to actual voters, but have we ever seen an entire party apparatus back one candidate so hard when another candidate who is an incumbent Congressman is also running? Feels like the deck is stacked against Trone at this point.

Not that I remember, at least not when the opponent wasn't a sitting congressman as well (see Porter/Lee vs. Schiff, with the party officials largely backing the latter).

[Sir Mohamed]

Van Hollen endorses Alsobrooks.

https://twitter.com/AlsobrooksForMD/status/1782909007742517252

I guess that for sure helps her.

[Sir Mohamed]

Hogan's chances are effectively zero. He's already 10 points behind and this should still be his honeymoon phase. There's a good chance he loses Frederick and Anne Arundel counties with how fast they've been flying to the left.

Yup, though I expect him to do a lot better than Generic R. So far I'm predicting roughly the same result as TN-2018.