Everyones path in 2020 is incredibly Iowa-centric. With NH and SC as automatic losses to Bernie/Warren and a AA candidate like Booker/Harris/Oprah/?, Iowa is key to early momentum. This probably benefits Youth focused candidates like Beto, but also Klobuchar and other popular Midwesterners.
Agree.
Beto must win IA and NV, before doing well on Super Tuesday with a huge win in TX and a decent showing CA.
I don't see any reason why Beto should have to actually win NV in order to win the Dem primary.
Sure, he shouldn't get blown out in NV, and should get a decent share of the few delegates. But why does he actually have to win it?
NV is right next to CA, and is demographically similar to CA.
Winning NV would give Beto more comfort going into Super Tuesday. Two wins out of four races is pretty impressive, since I give him little chance in NH and SC with the expected field of candidates. Appeal among hispancis should help Beto in the Silver State.
NV is to the right of CA as a whole, but even Sanders did better in NV than he did here in CA.
