The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 2

[Sir Mohamed]

I don't believe Biden is actually running. 2016 was his last chance.

[Sir Mohamed]

Oprah actively thinking about running.

Oh please not. No celebrity. We need someone who understands government business and not another show(wo)man.

[Sir Mohamed]

More Oprah denial, this time on Jimmy Kimmel:

http://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/375234-oprah-tells-kimmel-she-is-definitely-not-running-in-2020

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Good. I like her, but Democrats need a professional in 2020, not a celebrity.

[Sir Mohamed]

The more people running just increases the chance of a brokered convention, the DNC will need to come down hard with debate rules. High polling threshold like 10-15% would really discourage a lot of these people.

Not necessarily. I think the first candidates will start dropping out by October 2019. After Iowa, maybe a half a dozen will be left; and past Super Tuesday, it's down to two or three.

[Sir Mohamed]

Avenatti has a new website:

https://twitter.com/MichaelAvenatti/status/1030245501524791296

He couldn't have found a less grainy image?

LOL, "all the presidents con men" sounds really funny.

[Sir Mohamed]

Avenatti is launching his own federal PAC:

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/rubycramer/michael-avenattis-2020-pac

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LOL, he will drop out before IA or soon after, after getting 1%.

[Sir Mohamed]

Avenatti's latest stunt:

https://twitter.com/MichaelAvenatti/status/1036284053115162624

He just WANTS me to rip my hair out!
He's gonna make Beto lose with his cringey #Resistance stuff!

I wonder whether this whole Avenatti thing isn't a PR stunt?

[Sir Mohamed]

Joe Biden opened a new official Instagram account:

https://www.instagram.com/joebiden/

His old one was still a now inactive government account (vp44). He picked up thousands of followers very quickly. Maybe a setup for 2020?

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/aseitzwald/status/1043155821977317377

If he runs, I doubt he even makes it to the Iowa Caucus, let alone Super Tuesday. Garcetti '20 isn't happening.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://breakermag.com/john-mcafee-is-73-very-stoned-and-running-for-president/

McAfee is in...

#Gamechanger

[Sir Mohamed]

Debates emerge as 2020 Democratic primary flash point

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https://www.politico.com/story/2018/10/08/democrats-debates-2020-elections-853029

Interesting to hear they could be starting as early as the spring. If that's the case, it might force some candidates to move up on their timelines.

Candidates like Biden, Sanders and Warren can wait as long as they want with their higher name recognition.

Michelle Obama probably could wait as long as possible too...but she isn't running.

I like presidential campaigns, but the first debate shouldn't be before September or October 2019. It's ridiculous we spent almost half of a presidential term with campaigning.

[Sir Mohamed]

Bloomberg registers as a Democrat again, potentially as a precursor to a run for the party's presidential nomination:

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/michael-bloomberg-registers-democrat_us_5bbdde1ae4b0876edaa3fae9

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Bloomberg isn't happening. Too old, too wealthy, too moderate...