It's November 6, 2024…

[Sir Mohamed]

And this happened since 2017. Your reaction? What will be the political climate?

(I know, the scenario is HORRIBLE for Dems)


2018 midterm elections:

House: 232 GOP, 203 Dem; Dem net gain: +9
Senate: 55 GOP, 45 Dem; GOP net gain: +3 (IN, ND and MO flip GOP, no Dem pick-ups)


2020 elections:

✓ President Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 296 EVs.; 47.7%
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)/Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ): 242 EVs.; 49.2%


House: 243 GOP, 192 Dem; GOP net gain: +11
Senate: 54 GOP, 46 Dem; Dem net gain: +1 (CO flips Dem, no GOP pick-ups)


2022 midterm elections:

House: 227 GOP, 208 Dem; Dem net gain: +16
Senate: 52 GOP, 48 Dem; Dem net gain: +2 (GA, NC and WI flip Dem, NH flips GOP)


2024 elections:

✓ Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN)/Secretary of State Nikki Haley (R-SC): ~273 EVs.; 48.1%
Senator Martin Heinrich (D-NM)/Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI): ~265 EVs.; 50.3%

_{* EVs depending on the allocation follwing the 2020 census; but map would almost certainly lead to a narrow GOP win in the EC}

House: 235 GOP, 200 Dem; GOP net gain: +8
Senate: 54 GOP, 46 Dem; GOP net gain: +2 (NV flips Dem (plus pick-ups from ME and VT), MT, FL, OH flip GOP)