so has the R advantage in the house finally dissipated a little bit? Remember that Romney won 230 districts while losing PV by four. The problem is that as soon as the house problem lessened in its severity - the senate problem flared up. Hopefully it works itself out at some point.
Several states got new districts. Republicans might have just won the House with the 2013 districts.
Yeah, we almost certainly would have won the House this year if PA/NC/FL/VA hadn't redistricted mid-decade. But, the other factor is that gerrymanders are much more effective early in a decade than they are late in a decade. For instance, Republicans in Georgia in 2011 were not concerned in the slightest about GA-6 or GA-7 going Democrat.
Also, even though Republicans may come as close as 4 seats from a House majority, there would have needed to be a more than 2 point national swing to bring those last 4 seats home.
215. IL-14 (Underwood +1)
216. IA-3 (Axne +1.4)
217. VA-7 (Spanberger +1.
218. MN-2 (Craig +2.2)
Now, there are a ton of districts that Democrats won by 3-4 (probably right about where the House NPV winds up), but the House map wasn't nearly as effective for Republicans as it usually is.
