Single most in danger Clinton state of switching (user search)
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  Single most in danger Clinton state of switching (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which Democratic state is in most danger of flipping in 2020?
#1
New Hampshire
 
#2
New Mexico
 
#3
Maine (statewide)
 
#4
Virginia
 
#5
Colorado
 
#6
Nevada
 
#7
Minnesota
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 87

Author Topic: Single most in danger Clinton state of switching  (Read 1704 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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Posts: 11,794


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« on: January 07, 2017, 03:58:03 PM »

Minnesota, followed closely by Maine and New Hampshire.

My current 2020 map is Trump+MN+ME+NH (322-216)
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,794


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


« Reply #1 on: January 10, 2017, 09:39:47 PM »

MN.  MN 18-24 olds went Trump 48-43 while 65+ olds went Clinton 49-47.  MN will trend GOP for sure in 2020.

If true then this is right.

Sigh...

You see something similar in WI as well but not as dramatic.  18-24 year olds went Trump in WI 45-43 while 25-29 went Clinton 51-42. 

Same for MO where 18-24 year olds went Trump 57-35 while 25-29 went Clinton 48-43.  In MO I suspect this has a lot with the Mizzou protests of 2015.  Seems like there is a silent majority in MO college students that was very negative on the protests and went Trump.

The exit polls were fascinating with the young vote.  Iowa voted like 25 points to the right of Georgia with 18-29s (though, that might be because Georgia 18-29s are much less white than old Georgians, while Iowa 18-29s are still pretty much just as white as old Iowans).
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