McSally is a low grade recruit for the GOP. I really do expect her to lose.
She avoids the public like the plague, is not like by the left or the right, she hardly campaigns at all, and doesn't have any strong following in the state.
If she couldn't win in a 2018 midterm why would she two years later in a presidential election? She's not a good candidate and it's insulting she was appointed after losing.
Why wouldn't it be? Two wave years can happen in a row, just like 2006 and 2008. The only difference is the reason people voted the way they did in 2018 is directly attributed to Trump, rather than the Iraq War or whatever else. Republican base voters love Trump, and everyone else (including independents) hates him.
In fact I'd say the Republicans are in a pretty precarious position since the 2018 midterms happened with a pretty good economy. If the economy goes south between now and Nov 2020...things could be even WORSE for them than 2018.
Trump has yet to have a "good" election, 2016 was neutral at best, 2018 was a bad election. What makes you think suddenly Trump can reverse course and make things any better? All he ever does it cater to his base to maintain control of the Republican Party and keep the party officials in line.
