New Hampshire Megathread: Sherman in

[Nyvin]

Here's maps I made of the State Senate with 2016 Presidential results,  I never posted it though.  Letter in the parentheses shows the current incumbent's party. Atlas colors.

[Nyvin]

Here's overall results in each district for 2016:

[Nyvin]

Here's executive council:

[Nyvin]

Dems won the recount in SD-23.   The Dem majority will be 14-10 next year.

[Nyvin]

Former Congressional candidate/Carol Shea-Porter staffer Naomi Andrews is running for State Representative in the Rockingham-9 special. This seat opened up when representative Sean Morrison (R-Epping) got sick of dealing with the BS of politics. While the district is R+4, a Democrat (Mark Vallone) did get the most votes. Two Republicans are running: Michael Vose and Cody Belanger.

Michael Vose is a former state rep who got beaten by the current representative in NH. Sununu selected him for a seat on the Site Evaluation Committee, which helps regulate energy facilities and gas pipelines. He was voted down by the then-Republican-controlled Executive Council, and has since sought to get back to the State House. Vose is very pro-Northern Pass and for Granite Bridge, a natural gas pipeline.

Cody Belanger is a selectman who happens to be a part of the Online Right brigade you see in the NHGOP nowadays. He has a bit of clout in the NHGOP and has apparently been part of the Young Republicans.

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Naomi Andrews most likely has the field to herself. As I've said before, her qualifications speak for themselves. I found her to be the best-performing candidate in the field. If she had gotten in earlier, I believe she had a legitimate chance to win (especially if she consolidated the support of women's identity groups). Unfortunately, she didn't, and she got 4th place.

Vose wound up winning the primary and beating Andrews, 52-48. Unfortunate.

880 votes for Vose,  806 votes for Andrews.    Winning by 74 votes total isn't much of a mandate or anything, but I guess a win is a win.

[Nyvin]

https://twitter.com/KlandriganUL/status/1199016594883698692?s=19

Prescott is retiring. His seat is rapidly trending away from Republicans.

It's the Portsmouth/Salem seat.   It's definitely going to be competitive.

[Nyvin]

More registered Democrats in NH than registered Republicans for first time in 10 years

https://www.wmur.com/article/for-the-first-time-in-10-years-there-are-more-registered-democrats-than-republicans-in-nh/31139110#

-- 1,018,783 registered voters in the state, slightly more than the 1,009,004 reported after the November 2018 midterm election.

-- 387,648 registered undeclared voters in New Hampshire, which is 38 percent of the total number of registered voters,

-- 324,593 registered Democrats, which is 31.8 percent of the total, and

-- 306,542 registered Republicans, or 30 percent of the total.

As of Feb. 4, a week before the primary, there were 415,871 registered undeclared voters, 288,464 registered Republicans and 276,385 registered Democrats in the state.

[Nyvin]

I voted - Volinsky, Shaheen, Pappas, McKenzie.   State Leg. races other than Exec Council only had 1 choice.

Turnout in my town seems pretty huge for a primary.

* Also backed Pappas, mainly because he's been progressive enough for our state.

Kinda funny how NH-1 consistently has the more progressive Rep while NH-2 the more establishment one,  I would've guessed it'd be the other way around.

[Nyvin]

Bolduc is not endorsing Messner (and I can't blame him) -

https://www.wmur.com/article/don-bolduc-i-will-not-disgrace-my-name-to-support-a-man-like-corky-messner/33966350?fbclid=IwAR1JAsjD-Zk3ghuURa_DtuJ07AX_FWtug-UIvRmuWcmpNWHpsXbXkRBXRwI

[Nyvin]

Probably lots of to go over, but is it possible for Democrats to reach 268 seats in the State House?  I know 16 seats in the Senate is feasible.

[Nyvin]

Looking like GOP might get trifecta in NH, despite losing Congressional races.  What a disaster.

[Nyvin]

Seems like the "NH Dems are for State Income Tax" message the GOP put out really was wildly successful.

[Nyvin]

Sherman Packard from Londonderry will be the new speaker.

[Nyvin]

Macdonald has been confirmed as NHSC chief justice

[Nyvin]

It's pretty much conclusive that the GOP's gerrymander of the executive council is the only thing that saved their majority this year.

https://twitter.com/norwood270/status/1590474467301785601