Rauner is probably the single most vulnerable incumbent in 2018.
And you truly have an amazing, uncorrupt, and competent opponent to run against him.
Really don't think it will mater with Trump as President. It's like Scott in FL or LePage in ME.
Rick Scott has 52-37 approval according to MC, I agree on ME, and obviously I disagree on how you view IL, Trump alone can't flip IL when you run the most elitist, Chicagoesque, Corrupt person you can possibly find, and you have Michael Madigan on top of that.
I meant the national environment and Obama's low approvals are the main reasons why Scott and LePage won in 2010 and 2014. Also Rauner is immensely unpopular and wasn't there a poll where most Illini blamed him for the budget issues?
I don't recall that poll, and I remember MC having him at 40-49 last time they polled, so not immensely unpopular. https://morningconsult.com/governor-approval-ratings-july-2017/
Edit: 26% Approval is immensely unpopular imo.
You don't need 26% approval to flip a gov seat....
