It is only slightly to the right of where Georgia was in 2016, and Democrats still have a lot of room to gain and more than Republicans. 2024 could be winnable, especially with something like a 2008-style victory, not that there is an easy path to that right now. Otherwise, 2028 would be realistic, though my guess is that election would be a Republican victory because either Republicans would only have had one term or have the classic opposition party advantage after two Democratic terms.
GA was +7 R in 2016 while TX is +10 R in 2020, and also the shifts in GA vs Texas are very different.
Here:
https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1388453436648210437
Cobb County :
2012: Romney 55.25%
2020: Trump 42.02%
Forsyth County:
2012: Romney 80.47%
2020: Trump 65.83%
Gwinnett County:
2012: Romney 53.76%
2020: Trump 40.16%
Henry County:
2012: Romney 51.1%
2020: Trump 39.24%
Are Asians counted as "Other/Unknown" here? Because Forsyth County has a sizable Asian population, attracted in part due to the perceived quality of the area's public schools.
