If mcauliffe wins by 1, my prediction is that people like Non Swing Voter will strut around like victors while in reality such a margin would totally demolish credibility of a lot of posters who have spent months insisting this was a safe D race
It wasn't a safe D race, that much is to be said. It was at Likely for a while before Youngkin made his most recent gains, which pushed it to Tossup in one stroke because his biggest obstacle to getting a plurality over McAuliffe was the bigger Dem base in the state, and him actually cutting into that base has now became relatively massively likelier. The difference between a Likely D race that was hard for Youngkin to win and a Tossup race McAuliffe was quite vulnerable in was perhaps just a mere few points of margin.