NY11-NBC/Marist: Malliotakis (R) +2

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It fascinated me that Staten Island is a RED borough.

I know it really is far diffrent from the rest of NYC but still...

None of the NYC suburbs to the North or West (NJ) have red CD’s. And even directly to the East are blue districts on Long Island ... how is Staten Island so much of a red leaner

*and I ask again, how do we increase the majority by 10 when we don’t hold onto our seats we already have

Even though Staten Island is in the city, transportation to Manhattan (or even to the fashionable parts of Brooklyn) is harder than it is from across the Hudson, or Westchester, or Long Island. Someone hoping to move to an NYC suburb for the purpose of commuting to somewhere in Manhattan would prefer not to live on Staten Island. It is also home to police neighborhoods which might be extremely alienated from the Democratic Party as it exists in 2020.

This. The only Democratic city councilmember on S.I. is a Black woman named Debi Rose, she is not related to Max Rose. She represents North Shore, which is more urban and diverse than the white homogeneous South Shore, which is more Trumpian and Blue Lives Matter.

Rose holds on, but police neighborhoods are probably done with Dems for their all-in embrace of BLM. That's not good for relations at all

Rose wins 52%-46%

If he loses, I can see Rose running for Mayor.

Or running in again in a reconfigured district in 2022.

Is it possible to make a district blue enough to win with Staten Island on it?

Yep.  Remove the Bay Ridge/Bensonhurst area of Brooklyn (votes about 58% Dem) and substitute in Soho and East Village in Manhattan (vote around 90% Dem).  Republicans would need to win Staten Island with a around 63% of the vote to win the district.

Even that is unnecessary. Just run it up into Park Slope.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

0 chance this district goes to Manhattan. Manhattan is also overstreched with rep numbers. Rather Rose takes in the super woke hipsters in Brooklyn next to Manhattan.

Plus Rose is from Brooklyn, so I'd assume if the district has to expand, he'd want it to grow in Brooklyn.

Tbh I always found the "Staten-hattan" district idea to be kind of affront from a geographic perspective as well.