Could Texas elect a Joe Manchin type Democrat

[MT Treasurer]

Yes — people are overthinking this. Beto O'Rourke came within three points of unseating a Republican Senator in 2018, and while the state's shift to the left has been exaggerated, it’s clearly no longer solidly Republican in Democratic wave midterms, especially with coalition shifts making turnout patterns in off-years far more favorable to Democrats.

Someone like Cuellar could certainly win statewide against the "right" Republican in the next GOP president's midterm. Even Cornyn's seat could be on the table in the right environment.

[MT Treasurer]

At one time he would've, but nowadays the political orientation is too polarized as he'd do much more to alienate liberals than attract conservatives.

"I’m absolutely dying to vote against the sociopathic fascist in the White House in this midterm election, but I won’t vote for this Henry Cuellar guy over Ken Paxton in this competitive high-profile race where my TX vote finally counts because he sounds slightly too moderate to my liking and used a rifle in his ads"

[MT Treasurer]

Yes — people are overthinking this. Beto O'Rourke came within three points of unseating a Republican Senator in 2018, and while the state's shift to the left has been exaggerated, it’s clearly no longer solidly Republican in Democratic wave midterms, especially with coalition shifts making turnout patterns in off-years far more favorable to Democrats.

Someone like Cuellar could certainly win statewide against the "right" Republican in the next GOP president's midterm. Even Cornyn's seat could be on the table in the right environment.

Well thanks for pointing out that a candidate like Beto O' Rourke, a generic Texan democrat, can win in Texas.

Running a Joe Manchinite in Indiana didn't work, and one in Texas won't work as well.

You do realize that Joe Donnelly outperformed Clinton by 13 and Biden by 10 points, right?

I get that you’re blinded by your ideological beliefs, but please do not lose sight of the actual numbers.

Joe Manchin also won reelection in a Trump +42 state, so clearly he must have done something right.