AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[MT Treasurer]

People are aware of Sinema's actual voting record (which is about as "bipartisan" as Pat Toomey's), right? The only way McConnell/SLF/NRSC get behind her in some sort of GOP-flavored independent nominee scenario is if she changes her entire voting record. Has there been any indication that she’s actually willing to do that?

[MT Treasurer]

Anyone else looking forward to pundits rating this one a Toss-up and MT/OH (and maybe even WV in Cook's case) Lean/Likely D in their first forecast and later pretending it never happened?

Also, Sinema taking a little more from Republicans than Democrats/Gallego isn’t that surprising to anyone who has been paying attention. I always found the idea that Sinema performing "well" as a third-party candidate (read: mid- to high single digits) would clearly hurt Democrats/Gallego rather perplexing. To the extent Sinema has any "popularity" left, it’s mostly among more conservative voters and Republican-leaning independents who think she stands up to Schumer etc., more so than among Democratic-leaning moderates or whatever. Mark Kelly just won a very easy reelection without having to resort to Sinema's silly antics, so it’s not like Democrats even "need" a candidate like her. Sinema probably wishes this was a WV-type situation where Democrats were reliant on her running again to hold the seat, but it’s clearly not, and most people not named Kyrsten Sinema actually understand that.

Everything about her past (and esp. her recent time in the Senate) suggests that she’s basically just a narcissist desperate for attention and in need of professional help. People aren’t used to politicians going on suicide missions and catapulting themselves out of office like this, so they automatically assume that said politician's actions must be the result of some well-thought-out plan or genius move when in reality it’s little other than plain insanity.