I agree. Mark Brnovich is a fantastic candidate who fits Arizona’s political ideology very well. He will probably win by around 3% if I had to guess.
A very prudent observation indeed. In a politically engaged, ideologically-driven state like AZ, ideology is what will make or break Republican electoral prospects, not the national environment, the Republican candidate's branding (as opposed to his voting record), turnout patterns, and the focus on/popularity of the incumbent President and Senator — in fact, if Mark Brnovich's ideology was closer to Martha McSally's or Kelli Ward's, he’d lose even in a Republican wave. AZ voters are sufficiently aware of Brnovich's ideological philosophy/voting record to realize that he represents the seven core tenets of traditional conservatism in a moderate fashion without exhibiting nasty tendencies to veer into authoritarianism or corporatocracy. Brnovichism replaces outworn neoliberalism, failed neoconservatism, and regressive Trumpian tendencies with an attenuated, forward-looking fusionism — precisely the right ideological amalgam for Maricopa County, which is why I pick him to win statewide by 4 points.
