Is CA-GOV 2021 Biden's MA-SEN 2010/AL-SEN 2017?

[MT Treasurer]

I really don’t think Newsom is going to get recalled when all is said and done — safe to bet on partisanship/recent trends/demographic realities winning out before relying too much on mixed polling with a large number of D 'undecideds' or recall supporters. Sticking with my prediction of No/Newsom +9 (even if Yes wins on #1, #2 will be uphill for the GOP if there’s a last-minute consolidation effort around the most viable D replacement candidate, and it’s not like the GOP field isn’t splintered either).