AK - Change Research/314 Action Fund: Tshibaka +14 over Gross, Murkowski 3rd, Tshibaka leads w/ RCV (user search)
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  AK - Change Research/314 Action Fund: Tshibaka +14 over Gross, Murkowski 3rd, Tshibaka leads w/ RCV (search mode)
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Author Topic: AK - Change Research/314 Action Fund: Tshibaka +14 over Gross, Murkowski 3rd, Tshibaka leads w/ RCV  (Read 1282 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: June 08, 2021, 05:14:53 PM »

The theory that RCV will magically safe Murkowski presupposes that there are enough Republicans who will rank her at all. It’s possible, but she’s in for a serious uphill battle.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2021, 07:49:25 PM »

Nate Cohn has suggested that strategic voting may be in order here and that Democrats may want to abandon their candidate and support Murkowski. The results indicate that if Murkowski is eliminated in third place, enough of her voters will rank Tshibaka over Gross to give Tshibaka the victory, while if Murkowski were in second place she would likely win the runoff.

Murkowski being seen as the de-facto D candidate like Al Gross will surely help her with her base problem.
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