Rate Nevada (user search)
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June 09, 2024, 10:00:04 AM
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  Rate Nevada (search mode)
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Poll
Question: It's never too early.
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Tossup/Tilt D
 
#5
Tossup/Tilt R
 
#6
Lean R
 
#7
Likely R
 
#8
Safe R
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 86

Author Topic: Rate Nevada  (Read 3285 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« on: May 28, 2021, 01:39:57 AM »

^I like how "Tossup, with a slight tilt R" is deemed some bold/hackish prediction for this race on here, lol.

Anyway...

Safe 'This race will cause people to lose their minds'

Tossup between AZ-SEN and NV-SEN in the race for 'most insufferable analysis/conventional wisdom of any race'
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2021, 03:04:39 PM »

Sisolak just signed a permanent mail-in voting system into law.

That might have just shored up CCM for re-election.

Right, because as 2020 proved, high turnout undoubtedly always benefits Democrats. Not like Nevada was one of five states to swing R that year either.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2021, 04:32:24 PM »

A lot of that was said to be due to COVID shutdowns and wanting to get the hospitality industry going. I also think there was an incumbency bump among Hispanics but can't find the 2016 exit polls for that state.

Either way, mailing ballots out to every household in the state is going to help the democrats. A lot of republicans will probably throw their mail-in ballot in the trash with the intent of showing up in-person at the polls on election day to vote for Laxalt or whoever the GOP puts up. That is, if they don't forget.

And then the remaining, very small slice of Republicans who somehow didn’t forget about the election AND didn’t throw away their ballot will probably forget how to vote... unless their Dear Leader sends them an instruction manual that contains his signature and spells out to them how they should fill out their ballot, they’ll probably become depressed and just give up after an hour or so because they couldn’t figure it out or just didn’t care because Trump's name isn’t on the ballot. And then we’ll get a CCM NUT map that will put even Mark Kelly's and Chris Sununu's NUT maps to shame.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #3 on: June 07, 2021, 05:45:41 PM »

It’s amusing how less than 20% of users here think this race will be a R flip (with the vast majority rating it Lean/Tilt D) yet certain users will keep acting like their Lean/Likely D ratings for this race are some bold rejection of the Atlas consensus, according to which NV is destined to become a red state.
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