MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,275
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« on: October 16, 2020, 09:39:35 AM » |
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Trump’s almost certainly not going to win MI, but that’s not because its R trend in the 2010s was a fluke or because it’ll vote way to the left of WI/PA, it’s because Biden is leading by high single digits/low double digits nationally. It’s completely reasonable to expect it to trend R again, and the narrower Biden's margin, the better for James.
So yeah, while this is an outlier, Mi is pretty much the last state Democrats should be taking for granted (especially with the likely tipping-point Senate race there).
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