MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: October 11, 2020, 02:55:55 PM » |
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« edited: October 11, 2020, 03:05:05 PM by TITANIUM TILT R FLORIDA? »
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Biden probably wins GA by 1-2 points if I had to guess. Honestly, the fact that this 2018 map...
...only amounted to a <0.5-point Republican win should have scared the living daylights out of the GA Republican Party way before the election cycle got going and we got a clearer picture of the environment this year. This is one of those states where you don’t need a single poll to gauge how much trouble Republicans are in, and at this point I don’t think even a Kemp-level performance in rural/small-town GA saves Trump. If Biden's performance in those areas is closer to Clinton 2016 levels, the Democratic margin could be surprisingly wide.
It’s indeed recommendable to apply some "nuance" to trends-related arguments, but when the outlook is as singularly and unambiguously bleak as it for GA Republicans and has been since 2008, stating the inevitable/obvious isn’t equivalent to being "cocky."
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