VA (VA Commonwealth University): Biden +14 (user search)
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  VA (VA Commonwealth University): Biden +14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: VA (VA Commonwealth University): Biden +14  (Read 3002 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: September 15, 2020, 10:28:04 PM »

It’s beyond embarrassing that there are posters on a forum like this who considered (or still consider) this state winnable for Republicans (even "with Bernie" or "with Pence" or "with a non-Trumpist Republican"). Even if Biden wins the state by 12-15 points, some will unironically chalk it up to "VA is a Biden/moderate state, not a Democratic state" and pretend that Republicans have a great chance of capturing the governor's mansion in 2021.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2020, 02:21:41 AM »

It’s beyond embarrassing that there are posters on a forum like this who considered (or still consider) this state winnable for Republicans (even "with Bernie" or "with Pence" or "with a non-Trumpist Republican"). Even if Biden wins the state by 12-15 points, some will unironically chalk it up to "VA is a Biden/moderate state, not a Democratic state" and pretend that Republicans have a great chance of capturing the governor's mansion in 2021.

Biden is pretty clearly going to win the state by a hefty margin this time, and Republicans aren't going to have much of a chance if the circumstances of 2020 stay roughly the same...but circumstances do change. Which may entail the GOP regularly losing by 20 instead of 10. Point being, politics is volatile.

Except for the fact that they aren’t going to have any chance in Virginia even if the circumstances of 2020 don’t stay the same and somehow improve dramatically for Republicans. I agree that it’s more of a question of losing by 20 or 10, but that doesn’t contradict the underlying reality that it’s Safe D in both of those (and all other realistic) scenarios.

VA also isn’t going to be more Republican than ME, btw.
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