MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,275
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« on: June 05, 2020, 01:25:07 PM » |
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I absolutely buy this, and we’ve literally had dozens of TX polls showing a Tossup already. It’s also in line with national polls showing a Biden blowout, the insane swings/trends we saw in 2016 and 2018, other swing state polls (especially OH/IA/GA/NC), and the relative accuracy of TX polls, which—unlike, say, IA polls—certainly have not underestimated Republican support in recent elections.
I guess I might also add that it was not that long ago that I was mocked for predicting that TX was more likely to flip than IA (especially by a certain R-OR avatar).
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