Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019) (user search)
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  Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate New Mexico and Virginia's 2020 Senate races
#1
NM: Safe R
 
#2
NM: Likely R
 
#3
NM: Lean R
 
#4
NM: Tilt R
 
#5
NM: Tilt D
 
#6
NM: Lean D
 
#7
NM: Likely D
 
#8
NM: Safe D
 
#9
VA: Safe R
 
#10
VA: Likely R
 
#11
VA: Lean R
 
#12
VA: Tilt R
 
#13
VA: Tilt D
 
#14
VA: Lean D
 
#15
VA: Likely D
 
#16
VA: Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 80

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Rate NM-Sen and VA-Sen (Spring 2019)  (Read 1929 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
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Posts: 15,275
United States


« on: May 02, 2019, 10:34:59 AM »

Atlas: New Mexico and Virginia are Safe D no matter what!
Also Atlas: Montana and Kansas are Lean/Likely R with the right candidate!

Yes? Red states are (unfortunately) far more likely to elect a Senator from the other party than blue/Democratic states. There are literally zero blue state Republican Senators right now, whereas you have people like Tester, Manchin, Jones, Brown, and dozens of other very competitive Democrats like Bayh, Bredesen, Kander, et al. in Republican states. PVI is a useless metric when determining the competitiveness of Senate races in red states.
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