Bold Senate Election Predictions

[MT Treasurer]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

How is that bold, though?

Anyway, as I said in the other thread, I have a hard time buying that Heitkamp will get Blanched/Kirked while other red state Democrats (McCaskill, Donnelly, Tester in particular) seem to be cruising to reelection, so I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s a polling error either in ND (and/or TN) or the other red (and swing) states. D+3 wouldn’t surprise me, but neither would R+5 or 6.

[MT Treasurer]

Democrats lose Missouri and Indiana and Tester barely squeaks by in Montana while Democrats pick up 35+ seats in the house.

How is that bold, though?

Almost everybody who thinks Democrats will score big in the house also thinks Democrats will hold all their non-ND seats in the senate. I do think there's very serious potential for the Democratic enthusiasm and vote swings to be concentrated into certain states and districts in the country and be almost nonexistent in other places.

Ah, so you mean bold by Atlas Forum standards. Well, then I certainly agree that it’s bold, lol.

[MT Treasurer]

Tester narrowly wins

You mean Garfield County, right?

[MT Treasurer]

because why not? Stranger things have happened in the entirety of human history.

Tester is safe.