CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

[MT Treasurer]

So far, there's lots of protest votes against Hawley but very little against McCaskill, which is kind of interesting.

Also, those turnout numbers are absolutely ugly for the (MO) GOP.

[MT Treasurer]

Kobach has taken the lead.

[MT Treasurer]

Wait, was the general election for WI-GOV held today? Because reading through the last 15 pages of this thread, you’d think Walker has already lost and WI is as blue as IL.

[MT Treasurer]

Wait, was the general election for WI-GOV held today? Because reading through the last 15 pages of this thread, you’d think Walker has already lost and WI is as blue as IL.

No, but if it was, I would wager on Evers winning it.

He’s definitely in trouble, but people here act like Republicans are never going to win another statewide race in WI again.

[MT Treasurer]

What even is this:

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Chris Powell
355   58.7%   
Rex Lawhorn
250   41.3   
605 votes, 75% reporting (1,467 of 1,951 precincts)

Right next to the Republican primary runoff for OK-GOV.

Libertarian primary.

[MT Treasurer]

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Ayanna Pressley
5,107   56.6%   
Michael Capuano*
3,913   43.4   
9,020 votes, 13% reporting (34 of 270 precincts)

Bye, Felicia.

64% for a sitting governor in a primary really isn’t impressive, but given that this is Charlie Baker and MA we are talking about, I’m not sure if this result is an over- or underperformance or about what you’d expect.

[MT Treasurer]

Why is NH having their primary on 9/11?

NH always wants to be special.

They’re generally succeeding in that because people are giving the state their undivided attention.

[MT Treasurer]

I have no doubt that the great people of New Hampshire will nominate the most ""electable"" Democratic candidate in every race. Good luck (not that they need it) to them.

[MT Treasurer]

Oh wait, Aaron Day is running again? LMAO, excellent.

These are the names of the Republican candidates on the ballot in NH-01 and NH-02, respectively.

Andy Sanborn   
Eddie Edwards   
Michael Callis   
Bruce Crochetiere   
Jeffory Denaro   
Andy Martin   

Stewart Levenson
Lynne Blankenbeker   
Brian Belanger   
Gerard Beloin   
Robert Burns   
Jay Mercer   
Steven Negron

One of these things is not like the others,
One of these things just doesn't belong,
Can you tell which thing is not like the others
By the time I finish my song?

[MT Treasurer]

I want Levi, and if not him then Sullivan.

So you want a weaker candidate then.

Sullivan would win the GE regardless.

The general election is Safe D no matter who wins the D primary.

[MT Treasurer]

What's the official explanation if Pappas (male) wins over Sullivan (female)?

[MT Treasurer]

Well, Sullivan was a carpetbagger, and NH doesn't like carpetbaggers (see NH-SEN 2014).

Apparently, NH females really don’t like carpetbaggers, considering that Brown did 12 points worse than Sununu among NH women while winning the male vote by the same margin as Sununu. Hmm.

[MT Treasurer]

Any chance Annie Kuster loses re-election? Many of the pundits only have it at "likely D."

Well, the "strongest" Republican is currently in the lead (only 5 precincts in, though), so if Kuster retires and Trump switches parties, I’ll give her a 1% instead of a 0% chance of winning.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, I'm calling NH-Gov for Kelly.

Should have called it as soon as the polls closed.

[MT Treasurer]

Too bad there’s no exit poll, I’d love to see the NH-GOV results.

Anyway, I’m sure Chrissy boy won’t be delighted at those primary vote totals.

[MT Treasurer]

Somehow, I don’t think Eddie Edward's candidacy is going to be well received in a district like NH-01. Also lol@Sullivan's pathetic showing, all the other female candidates are ahead in their respective races.

[MT Treasurer]

NH Republicans are going to get absolutely destroyed in November. Say bye to the governorshup, the Executive Council, the NH Senate, the NH House.

[MT Treasurer]

Sununu will win lol.

That person might win at some point, but Chris Sununu (R) will lose.

Record-breaking Democratic turnout and enthusiasm, much stronger opponent than two years ago, downward trend in polling, Democratic year in a blue state, a member of the same party as the misogynist hatemonger in the White House, etc. What’s not to like about his chances?

[MT Treasurer]

Sununu will win lol.

That person might win at some point, but Chris Sununu (R) will lose.

Record-breaking Democratic turnout and enthusiasm, much stronger opponent than two years ago, downward trend in polling, Democratic year in a blue state, a member of the same party as the misogynist hatemonger in the White House, etc. What’s not to like about his chances?

Sununu is a popular moderate like Hogan, Baker, and Phil Scott in a state far less blue than the other three.

Baker, Scott and even Hogan(!) all won by more than Sununu despite running in supposedly far less blue states. It’s pretty obvious that Democrats have a high floor in NH, Sununu being liberal on social issues (he’s definitely less moderate than the other governors you mentioned on most other issues) will only get him so far in a Democratic wave year.

[MT Treasurer]

False! Baker won by less than 2 points. Sununu won by over 2 points.

Okay, so Sununu won by .41 points more than Baker in a state that voted 26 points to the right of MA in 2016. What an unbeatable titan.