LOL at the idea that the media/prognosticators consider him DOA. Pretty much every mainstream prognostication has this race as a Toss-Up, which is very generous to Heller. Whatever local advantages he has will be easily offset by his consistent votes with Trump and NV’s Democratic lean (not to mention the Reid Machine.) Even if unions may have less “incentive” to go after him, I have a hard time believing that they would prefer him to Rosen. Had he faced a competent opponent in 2012, he likely would’ve lost by a similar margin as Romney, and 2018 is looking to be at least as good for Democrats as 2012, if not better. Unless Rosen royally screws up, or 2018 proves to be a great year for Republicans, Heller is losing.
Pretty much this. If anything, people (all the pundits/prognosticators in particular) are overestimating him and the incumbency advantage in general. There is no way Heller is winning if MO is Tossup, MT is Likely D, IN is Tilt D, etc. He could certainly surprise us in a neutral year, but even then it would be a narrow victory at best.