Are we underestimating Dean Heller's chances of re-election? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 05, 2024, 11:30:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Are we underestimating Dean Heller's chances of re-election? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Are we underestimating Dean Heller's chances of re-election?  (Read 2142 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« on: April 21, 2018, 10:38:13 AM »
« edited: April 21, 2018, 10:41:18 AM by MT Treasurer »

LOL at the idea that the media/prognosticators consider him DOA. Pretty much every mainstream prognostication has this race as a Toss-Up, which is very generous to Heller. Whatever local advantages he has will be easily offset by his consistent votes with Trump and NV’s Democratic lean (not to mention the Reid Machine.) Even if unions may have less “incentive” to go after him, I have a hard time believing that they would prefer him to Rosen. Had he faced a competent opponent in 2012, he likely would’ve lost by a similar margin as Romney, and 2018 is looking to be at least as good for Democrats as 2012, if not better. Unless Rosen royally screws up, or 2018 proves to be a great year for Republicans, Heller is losing.

Pretty much this. If anything, people (all the pundits/prognosticators in particular) are overestimating him and the incumbency advantage in general. There is no way Heller is winning if MO is Tossup, MT is Likely D, IN is Tilt D, etc. He could certainly surprise us in a neutral year, but even then it would be a narrow victory at best.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.015 seconds with 12 queries.