The next Virginia/Colorado (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 07, 2024, 10:59:07 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  The next Virginia/Colorado (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which GOP-leaning state(s) will become tossups, and eventually lean DEM in the 2-4 presidential elections?
#1
Arizona
 
#2
Georgia
 
#3
Texas
 
#4
South Carolina
 
#5
Other (post in topic)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 78

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: The next Virginia/Colorado  (Read 4691 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« on: July 01, 2017, 04:58:53 PM »
« edited: July 01, 2017, 05:03:38 PM by MT Treasurer »

Georgia is destined to become the next VA. Once it flips, it will be gone.

AZ and TX will vote Democratic eventually, but they should remain competitive for some time after that (especially TX).
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,275
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 01, 2017, 10:00:02 PM »

Yes, we have little data to work with when it comes to AK. There are exit polls for 2008 and 2014, and they don't really suggest a strong Democratic trend at all, but I wouldn't read too much into these two results. In the long term, the state will probably continue to trend Democratic (and the GOP definitely underperformed in 2012 and to a lesser extent 2016), but I'm not sure how fast this is going to happen. I could see Alaska going the opposite way of Maine eventually (it kinda already behaves that way in down-ballot races), if that makes any sense. But it'll take some time until it finishes its transition into another "Virginia" or "Vermont".
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.