ME: Independents Gaining Traction

[MT Treasurer]

Attorney General Janet Mills says she’ll run for governor in 2018

[MT Treasurer]

Former House Speaker Mark Eves is announcing his run for governor today

Video.

[MT Treasurer]

Because LePage.

It remains to be seen how well Terry Hayes does, though. If she is getting a large amount of support, the Republicans have a good chance (while I assume she'll get bipartisan support, she'll probably win over more Democrats unless something else happens). If RCV were in, the Democrats would be good to go here, but that's not the case.

Yeah, I think it will be D>40%, maybe D>50% if Mayhew is the Republican nominee.

[MT Treasurer]

Nice to see Moody cruising to victory. Mayhew in third place, lol.

[MT Treasurer]

FWIW, Clinton won ME voters 45 and older by 6 points in 2016 (50-44). 50- to 64-year-olds went for Trump by 1 (47-48) while voters 65 and older voted for Clinton by 17 points (56-39).

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah, I’m not saying these crosstabs are necessarily accurate, but (please correct me if I’m wrong) aren’t 50+ voters in Maine (and other New England states) generally much more Democratic-leaning group than nationally?

Obviously it would have been better if they had they just conducted a normal poll for this race, so far we only have that Suffolk poll with a lot of undecideds.