TN-Gov: Karl Dean running, Mark Green out

[MT Treasurer]

I don't see him having the necessary crossover appeal in East Tennessee, or even rural and small town central and West TN, for that matter. This isn't Louisiana and the state isn't in bad shape. Safe R, barring some unforeseen circumstances.

[MT Treasurer]

Yeah I'm aware of 2002, but everything went wrong for the GOP that year - the TennCare disaster, Sundquist's unpopularity, Bredesen's reputation as a moderate Democrat, the state income tax, etc. And needless to say, the state was much less Republican and polarized back then. I know it's an open seat, but I don't expect the Democrats to win this race in the end. Dean could easily crack 40% if the Rs nominate someone like Blackburn, though, and there will probably be polls showing a close race.

But I agree that there's nowhere to go but up for TN Dems.

[MT Treasurer]

However, it's worth remembering that at the end of 2010, Democrats did have the Governorship and a majority of the US House seats. Maybe there's still a little bit of swing left there.

Looking at last presidential results that seems unlikely... But we will see...

Weren't you the one insisting that Hogan was fine because he was a different Republican?

How is Karl Dean a "different kind of Democrat"?