NBC/WSJ National: Clinton +7/+6

[MT Treasurer]

This poll jives with Clinton being up 9 in PA and NH and 5 in FL. Only Wisconsin looks off as of now when it comes to the good polls we've gotten.

And Nevada, Iowa and Maine.

The polls aren't off, there is clearly different breaks going on with swing voters. (You're right)

Agreed. This, plus Clintons leading by a lot in the blue states (CA, MD, MA, NY), while Trump is underperforming in red states like TX and GA.