In a hypothetical 2024 presidential election between President Biden and former President Trump, 47% would vote for Biden and 40% for Trump.
Once again, this screams nonresponse bias.
This is a Biden +26 sample, so I'm not so sure.
If anything, it suggests the undecided vote (in the Presidential match-up at least) leans Dem, as they often do in blue states.
IDK, something still seems very odd - You have 15% of Biden 2020 voters who would vote for... Trump in the 2024 rematch?
Their Democrat sample also has 21% of Dems voting for Trump in 2024 and nearly the same voting for Zeldin this year.
And maybe I'm reading it wrong, but only 17 people in their sample are "did not vote" in 2020? Does that mean there is barely any either non-2020 or new voters in this sample?
Even the “Does the FBI search make you more or less likely to support Trump in 2024” and 24% of Democrats say “more likely” (!!), and in the overall sample, in New York of all places, there is a higher total for “More likely” (35%) than “Less Likely” (34%). In a Biden +26 sample?!
IDK, maybe I'm totally off here. But that all just seems very odd.
these cross tabs make zero sense. there is no way this is accurate.
