Andrew Cuomo hints running for a fourth term

[Duke of York]

While id strongly prefer Kathy Hochul to succeed him as Governor if he runs for a 4th term I can't see how he doesnt win again even if a Democrat wins in 2020

I would hope he faces a stronger primary challenger than Cynthia Nixon as the GOP really doesnt have anyone won can win statewide at this point.

Unless a Republican can eat into margins in Westchester, and win Suffolk and Nassau alone with the other urban counties of New York I dont see how he doesnt win

[Duke of York]

This shouldn’t be surprising. He managed his father’s campaign for a fourth term in 1994, and, well...

New York was also a different state in 1994. It wasn't as solid blue as it is now.

[Duke of York]

This shouldn’t be surprising. He managed his father’s campaign for a fourth term in 1994, and, well...

New York was also a different state in 1994. It wasn't as solid blue as it is now.

I know, I’m merely speaking to Cuomo’s motivations. Anyone who thought he wasn’t running for a fourth term is deluding themselves.

Im not shocked at all though he will likely face a stronger primary challenger in 2022 as there are many Democrats who want to be governor including Hochul who has made it no secret she wants to be Governor but she's not going to challenge him in a primary.

[Duke of York]

Dibasio should challenge him.

A New York City mayor has not been elected Governor since 1868

[Duke of York]

Given the way the 2020 Democratic Presidential race is devolving, is it not impossible that Cuomo could still be a candidate?

We have a frontrunner (Biden) who looks OLD, has his memory questioned by other challengers, and now has media buzz about his living son and Ukraine.  We have Liz Warren who will not answer the question about one's taxes going up when she is asked about her Medicare for All plan, and while it may well be true that "hard working middle class families" will actually have more disposable income under her plan in the aggregate, some of those folks won't, and some will have worse coverage than they have now.  We have Bernie Sanders who isn't really a Democrat and who strikes me as more of a 1970s Eurocommunist every day.  We have the identity politics nitwits (Booker, Harris, Castro) who all ride buses where the wheels are about to come off over their outlandish statements.  We have Beto, who is a pandering idiot.  And we have others who aren't going to be nominated.  All of these people have run campaigns which, to date, make them vulnerable to Trump in the General Election.  The key to beating Trump was a broad based coalition with a moderate platform, and these folks have ne'er well made that impossible.

The only candidate that would CLEARLY (if nominated) beat Trump are Sen. Amy Klobuchar.  If he were not gay and married, I would put Mayor Pete in that category as well, but how being gay and married will play with the electorate in the end at the Presidential level is, at this point, an open question.  It's not 1972, but it's an "X" factor.  Klobuchar is, in my opinion, the most electable Democrat of the lot against Trump, but seems to get no traction.

So it seems that what the Democrats need to do at this point is Airlift a candidate into the process.  Cuomo is the kind of candidate for that; he has gravitas, he hasn't been soiled by the early debate hogwash, and while I certainly don't like his abortion policies, it won't kill him in battleground states.  From a political science viewpoint, the Democrats appear to be working hard to blow the 2020 election.  Trump ought to be a candidate that will be easy to oust from office, but these folks just can't resist self-indulgence in the way they go about seeking the Presidency.  Airlifting a Cuomo into the process is a way to undo that; he's the hero coming to the rescue.  I believe that the Democrats are in need of this kind of play, but it seems to be hard to convince them of that.

Unfortunately, no. I'd endorse Cuomo and support him in a heartbeat, but, it's far too late for anyone except a party politics icon like Gore or Clinton to jump in.

And to respond to the statements of some others - yeah. He'll probably get primaried again. Some young, TYT/Rose Twitter-backed girl with no name recognition will probably run a campaign like Cynthia Nixon did.

As for Republicans who might challenge him, I'm not sure.

Nick Langworthy is ascending fast in the state party. Rob Ortt is fierce. David Bellavia or Michael Caputo?

Cuomo will likely get a primary challenger for a 4th term and someone likely a bit more substantial than Cynthia Nixon who had no clue what the job entailed or understating of the issues. He will likely win the nomination and the general thus achieving what his father could not. I dont see any of the people you mentioned winning. If Democrats retain the state senate in 2020 the GOP will be on the verge of irrelevance in New York.