Probability of global war directly involving US, China, and Russia *soon*?

[Storebought]

The probability of a global conflict is, like everyone says, practically nil.

A military conflict with China is not at all nil, but still certainly small. Even a hostile confrontation on the South China Sea will not lead to a war.

I still think it more likely that the US starts a war against Iran than with North Korea. Iran is the easier target (even thought it's not at all an easy target).

But I think you are all mistaken about Russia: the US and NATO might not want a war with Russia, but Russia certainly wants a war against us. The probability of Russia engineering a conflict against the US and NATO is certainly not negligible.