Israel-Gaza war

[Helsinkian]

If Israel were trying trying to frame a Palestinian group for the explosion, why would they decide to blame the PIJ instead of Hamas? Since 7 October all the focus has been on Hamas. Why would Israel want to divert that focus by blaming another, smaller group? Why not just say that Hamas did the failed rocket attack?

[Helsinkian]

Any chance of this?

One faint hope nurtured by US diplomats is that with unanimous, unyielding pressure from the Arab world, Hamas could be forced to leave Gaza for an agreed haven, just as the Palestine Liberation Organisation left Lebanon for Tunisia in 1982.

“That’s what Biden is talking about. That’s what he wanted to talk about in Amman today,” said Yossi Melman, an Israeli writer, journalist and intelligence expert, referring to a planned summit between Biden and Egyptian, Jordanian and Palestinian Authority leaders in the Jordanian capital. “But Arab leaders, due to their political interest, decided not to attend the conference.”

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/19/israeli-military-discussing-alternatives-full-gaza-invasion-joe-biden

[Helsinkian]

Israeli military analyst: The legitimization window is closing quickly the longer Israel waits (CNN, Youtube)

Reminds me a bit of the July Crisis of 1914. Had Austria-Hungary acted immediately by invading Serbia right after the Sarajevo assassination, they might have gotten away with it without a world war. Russia had already thrown the Serbian cause under the bus once in 1908 when they had recognised Bosnia's annexation into Austria-Hungary. But in 1914 Vienna waited a month before taking action, and by that point Russia had decided to stand with Serbia, and France had decided to stand with Russia.

[Helsinkian]

54 of the hostages, one quarter of all, are Thai, agricultural workers from the Kibbutzim.

[Helsinkian]

I do wonder what Biden will do if/when The Hauge comes back with a ruling demanding the fighting stop.

Israel will absolutely ignore it, but Biden doesn't have to.

Biden will continue to support our ally over a court that neither Israel nor the US accept the authority of.

Why is Israel participating in the proceedings by sending lawyers to argue on their behalf if they do not recognise the court's authority?