CO-4: Boebert in hot water again (1/7)

[JMT]

2010 me wouldn’t have had Ken Buck retiring/resigning due to a likely primary challenge from the right on my Bingo card.

[JMT]

Yeah this is interesting, I didn’t see this one coming but I’m not surprised.

While incumbents often run in different districts in redistricting years, are there other examples of incumbents carpetbagging to a new district in non-redistricting years? Besides Boebert, the only other example I can think of is Mario Díaz-Balart, who opted to leave the 25th district to run for the more conservative 21st district that his brother (Lincoln Díaz-Balart) was vacating in 2010. Are there any other examples?

[JMT]

Yeah this is interesting, I didn’t see this one coming but I’m not surprised.

While incumbents often run in different districts in redistricting years, are there other examples of incumbents carpetbagging to a new district in non-redistricting years? Besides Boebert, the only other example I can think of is Mario Díaz-Balart, who opted to leave the 25th district to run for the more conservative 21st district that his brother (Lincoln Díaz-Balart) was vacating in 2010. Are there any other examples?

It's not immediate,  but the one that springs to mind is Ann Kirkpatrick who represented the big first district after 2008 and again after 2012 redistricting until she ran for senate in 2016. Then in 2018 she ran in the Tuscon second district and had it until 2022. Now, in her case it wasn't really a major issue cause her old seat not had a different Dem incumbent, the districts had similar partisanship (no accusations of running for safety), and the Arizona population is so transient.  But it still came up on that first 2018 campaign.

Also Kirkpatrick was well liked by Democrats across the state. Definitely not the case with Boebert.

Good example! I forgot about Kirkpatrick.

I just remembered that Gil Cisneros is essentially running in a new district this year (CA-31) to replace Grace Napolitano. Very technically, there is some overlap with his old district, but not a lot… per Daily Kos, “all of five of Napolitano's current constituents live within the boundaries of Cisneros' old seat.”

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2023/8/1/2184435/-Morning-Digest-Two-Republicans-who-recognized-Biden-s-win-weigh-retirement

[JMT]

It’ll be interesting to see if Mike Johnson/House Leadership/NRCC treats Boebert as the incumbent here. I imagine they’ll throw her an endorsement, but probably won’t spend money here since it’s a safe R race anyways.

[JMT]

It’ll be interesting to see if Mike Johnson/House Leadership/NRCC treats Boebert as the incumbent here. I imagine they’ll throw her an endorsement, but probably won’t spend money here since it’s a safe R race anyways.

Was leadership willing to save Cawthorn?

Good point! So perhaps not