Rate Arizona in a Clinton vs. Trump election

[JMT]

Lean R, but it'll be close. Trump would win in the end. Hillary wouldn't need to put resources into this state, she'd fight to win swing states. If Hillary wins Nevada, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, all possibilities with a normal GOP nominee, and should be pretty easy with Trump as the nominee, then she'll win the election. And there's plenty other swing states left for backup, like NH, Iowa, Virginia, and Colorado, I could see Clinton winning some, if not all, of these states against Trump as well. There would be no need for Clinton to invest in Arizona, so I don't think she will. So Trump wins AZ in all likelihood.  

[JMT]

Dems didnt field a strong Senate challenge, here, given defference to McCain. McCain will win and so will Trump, around six points

I don't expect her to win, but Ann Kirkpatrick is a strong challenger. She's an incumbent U.S. Rep, can raise lots of money, and has won in an R+4 district multiple times, including in a republican wave year when most people thought she would lose. So yes, she is an underdog and most likely McCain will win, but to say dems failed to recruit a strong challenger here is simply not true. She'll give McCain (or Ward) a run for their money.

[JMT]

Virginia, TRUMP doesn't have those votes. But no Republican would be able to win those votes. Let's not kid ourselves.

What? No Republican can win white votes?

He's trying to make the argument that white voters who hold an unfavorable view of Trump are already unwinnable for Republicans. 

I'm a white voter who holds an unfavorable opinion of Trump. I voted McCain in 2008 and Romney in 2012 and Rauner in 2014. Am I "unwinnable" for Republicans?

No, you are a Republican and you will vote TRUMP.

Would you though, whitesox130? Serious question.