De Blasio vs. Bush

[WVdemocrat]

it'd be closer to a Bush-2004 type victory than a Bush-1988 type victory.  the Dem floor is pretty high these days.  though Jeb could win a number of 'swing states' by razor-thing margins and approach 325 EVs.

^This

You guys are being completely unrealistic about this. With polarization as high as it is today, it's hard to see a Democrat getting below ~230 EVs.

I see a 2004-esque victory for Bush. Bush wins narrowly in Nevada. De Blasio wins narrowly in Iowa and Wisconsin, and somewhat narrowly in New Mexico.

[WVdemocrat]

You guys are being completely unrealistic about this. With polarization as high as it is today, it's hard to see a Democrat getting below ~230 EVs.

I see a 2004-esque victory for Bush. Bush wins narrowly in Nevada. De Blasio wins narrowly in Iowa and Wisconsin, and somewhat narrowly in New Mexico.

I think you are overrating the inflexibility of the electorate when faced with a "Moderate" candidate from on party vs an "Extremist" from another.

We can't sit here and make Democratic landslide maps against Cruz or Palin and then turn around and say De-Blasio or Sanders gets gets a close election. We can't have it both ways.

If Sanders were the Democratic nominee, it would be a blowout. Joe the Plumber would defeat him. I don't think it would be a blowout against De Blasio. He'd have to get a more experienced running mate though. By the way, I don't think Cruz wouldn't lose in a landslide, I know it would be very easy to label him an extremist (which he is), but he is very articulate and very intelligent. He would be formidable on a debate stage. Palin on the other hand would be lucky to crack 100 EVs.