AZ-SEN 2024: Away we Gallego (3/5 - Sinema OUT)

[Mr. Matt]

If Sinema actually runs, I predict she's most likely to end up like Jacob Javits in 1980, after he ran on the Liberal Party line following his loss in the Republican primary. She might even get less than 11% he got back then.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980_United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York

Of course she will take less. Javits was a fixture of statewide New York politics for almost 30 years and well-liked in general. Sinema is a freshman senator who is loathed by Ds, Rs, and Is alike.

I'm thinking, more based on the PPP poll from the previous page, that AZ SEN 2024 will look more like OR GOV 2022, excepting that Gallego (or Stanton) doesn't have negatives from an less-than-popular legislature like then-Speaker Kotek and Sinema has much more recognition and negatives than Johnson.